There is the "AI Prediction" label on almost each site's tips page nowadays, and I believe this term became the buzzword of the Kolkata FF season this year. However, the fact is that the prediction of the result of the truly random draw cannot be done even by AI, expert, script or any other technology. And in this article, I want to tell you why "AI prediction" of a random game is mostly marketing and how kolkataff.net tackles this issue.
Randomness Is Randomness, Even for an Algorithm
In every Kolkata FF Baji, the Patti is the three-digit number drawn randomly for this round. Regardless of the amount of data from the previous games which can be used by the machine learning algorithm, the future Baji's Patti is not dependent mathematically from the previous one. The mechanism of working of AI lies in the detection of the patterns in the data, but in the case of the true randomness, there is nothing to detect. Therefore, the AI will be working on statistic of the noise, and prediction cannot be accurate at all, regardless of the confidence of the website in its correctness.
What Do These "AI Systems" Actually Do?
Under the "AI-powered" label, there is usually a list of the following manipulations:
- Frequency analysis of the results of the last several weeks.
- Highlighting the "hot" numbers which appeared more often than average.
- Highlighting the "cold" numbers which are "due" (this already is the gambler's fallacy).
- Random shuffle of numbers from the preselected list.
- Sometimes, just a random number generator with some fancy UI.
Therefore, the AI is not even the AI in its pure form here. It is just simple arithmetic dressed in marketing jargon and producing the tips of the same unreliability as random guessing.
Gambler's Fallacy in AI Tips
Quite many AI tips use the fallacy of the assumption that if a certain number did not occur for a long time, it will appear soon. This is called gambler's fallacy and is mathematically wrong. In a random draw, all the numbers have the same probability to appear in every Baji regardless of the previous draws. Thus, the fact that 7 did not appear for the last five rounds does not affect the probability of appearance of 7 in the next round in any way. So, these tips are the gambler's fallacy in new UI form.
Why Does the Marketing Work Anyway?
Despite being mostly empty, AI predictions still work for the following reasons:
- Technical jargon is believed more than just guesswork.
- Dashboard, timer and colorful graphs are more scientific-looking than the handwritten tip.
- Successes are remembered forever, but failures are forgotten instantly.
- Everyone else in the field uses them, so people perceive them as normal practice.
- Thus, the tips of low accuracy are taken very seriously just because of the presentation.
What Does kolkataff.net Do Differently?
kolkataff.net does not offer "AI-based guaranteed predictions" or dress up tips in miracles of machine learning. All the tips are stated with the disclaimer that Kolkata FF is the game of luck, and no algorithm can predict a random draw. Additionally, it states that all the information on the website is entertaining and reference only. Rather than pretending to possess the magical system, it emphasizes speed of results, neat charts and reliable information.
Conclusion
AI prediction of a random draw is the oxymoron: if the draw is truly random, no AI can predict it in any way; and if any AI can predict the result of the draw, then the draw isn't random at all. Everything in between these two is just marketing built on statistic and buzzwords. And kolkataff.net treats its users well enough to state this openly and keep the tips section honest, letting the results table do all the talking.
